Bespoke’s Weekly Sector Snapshot — 1/26/23
Chart of the Day: Prices At The Pump On the Up and Up
Bespoke’s Morning Lineup — 1/26/23
See what’s driving market performance around the world in today’s Morning Lineup. Bespoke’s Morning Lineup is the best way to start your trading day. Read it now by starting a two-week trial to Bespoke Premium. CLICK HERE to learn more and start your trial.
“Market makers know that the market is always right. You are wrong if you are losing money for any reason at all. Market makers have that drilled into their head. They know value is irrelevant in times of market stress.” — Michael Platt, founder of Bluecrest Capital
Below is a snippet of content from today’s Morning Lineup for Bespoke Premium members. Start a two-week trial to Bespoke Premium now to access the full report.
Tesla (TSLA) reported earnings after the close yesterday and beat expectations on both the top and bottom line. The stock is set to open higher by just over 7% when the bell rings this morning, which would be its 15th gap higher on earnings out of the 50 quarterly results the company has posted since going public. Below is a snapshot of the 14 prior gaps higher of 5%+ in reaction to earnings for Tesla as shown in our Earnings Explorer tool. Historically, the stock has averaged a slight decline of 1.4% from the open to the close of trading on these 14 prior earnings reaction days, with positive returns from the open to close 5 out of 14 times. Twice out of 14 times, TSLA has gapped up 5%+ on earnings only to finish the day lower because of sharp intraday reversals. These two reversals came on back-to-back earnings releases in April and July of 2020. Only once has TSLA tacked on another 5%+ from the open to the close after gapping up 5%+, and that came back in August 2018 when shares opened up 9.2% and went up another 6.4% intraday for a full-day gain of 16.2%.
In today’s Morning Lineup, we also take a look at a few bullish chart patterns we’ve identified across key US sectors and groups.
Our Morning Lineup keeps readers on top of earnings data, economic news, global headlines, and market internals. We’re biased (of course!), but we think it’s the best and most helpful pre-market report in existence!
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The Closer – Triple Plays Tank, Fund Flows, Another Amazing Auction, EIA – 1/25/23
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Looking for deeper insight into markets? In tonight’s Closer sent to Bespoke Institutional clients, we begin with a look at how good of a month it has been for growth relative to value followed by a recap of a handful of tonight’s major earnings reports (page 1). We then provide an updated look at the lack of Triple Plays there have been (page 2). Next, we show an update of ETF and mutual fund flows (page 3) before recapping yet another impressively strong Treasury auction (page 4). We finish with a review of the latest EIA data (page 5).
See today’s full post-market Closer and everything else Bespoke publishes by starting a 14-day trial to Bespoke Institutional today!
Daily Sector Snapshot — 1/25/23
Chart of the Day: Shorts Running Higher
Bespoke’s Morning Lineup — 1/25/23
See what’s driving market performance around the world in today’s Morning Lineup. Bespoke’s Morning Lineup is the best way to start your trading day. Read it now by starting a two-week trial to Bespoke Premium. CLICK HERE to learn more and start your trial.
“I’ve actually made a prediction that within 30 years a majority of new cars made in the United States will be electric. And I don’t mean hybrid, I mean fully electric.” – Elon Musk, 6/25/08
Below is a snippet of content from today’s Morning Lineup for Bespoke Premium members. Start a two-week trial to Bespoke Premium now to access the full report.
When Elon Musk made the prediction in 2008 that the majority of new cars made in the US would be electric within 30 years, the flagship Tesla Model S — the first modern all-electric vehicle — was still four years from debuting in 2012. Hybrids like the Toyota Prius were certainly an option in 2008, but fully electric cars were simply not something that consumers (or the government) were thinking about.
We’re now closing in on the halfway point of Musk’s 30-year prediction, and we’d say that he’s on his way. In 2022, EV sales in the US represented 5.8% of total sales, up two-thirds from the prior year’s 3.2% market share. This increase came even as total vehicle sales declined 8% in 2022. The “tipping point” for wider EV adoption is said to be around 5%, and with that mark now eclipsed, Bloomberg estimates that half of all US auto sales will be EVs by 2030 — a full eight years sooner than Musk predicted back in 2008. Tesla (TSLA) reports quarterly earnings after the close today.
After initially trading higher by more than 4% in response to earnings after the close yesterday, shares of Microsoft $MSFT are currently set to open down 2.5% after investors digested less-than-stellar revenue guidance from the company. Microsoft’s weakness has the Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) trading down more than 1% pre-market, so we’re currently set for a pretty big gap down at the open.
In today’s full Morning Lineup, we take a closer look at technicals for the “big Tech” mega-caps, and we analyze sector breadth measures that are acting contrary to the general economic consensus at the moment.
Our Morning Lineup keeps readers on top of earnings data, economic news, global headlines, and market internals. We’re biased (of course!), but we think it’s the best and most helpful pre-market report in existence!
Start a two-week trial to Bespoke Premium to read today’s full Morning Lineup.
The Closer – EMFX, PMIs & Five Fed, Treasury Auction Allotments – 1/24/23
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Looking for deeper insight into markets? In tonight’s Closer sent to Bespoke Institutional clients, we check in on our EMFX index as well as show how oversold the US dollar has become relative to its 200-DMA (page 1). We follow up with an update of the latest flash PMI data from S&P Global (page 2) and our Five Fed Composite with the addition of the Richmond Fed (page 3). We then recap today’s very strong 2 year note auction (page 4) and the latest Treasury auction allotment figures (page 5).
See today’s full post-market Closer and everything else Bespoke publishes by starting a 14-day trial to Bespoke Institutional today!



