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“There is no better teacher than history in determining the future. There are billion-dollar answers in $30 history books.” – Charlie Munger
Below is a snippet of content from today’s Morning Lineup for Bespoke Premium members. Start a two-week trial to Bespoke Premium now to access the full report.
With just two more trading days left in the month, below is a chart we published in our Chart of the Day from last Tuesday looking at rest-of-year performance when January has been a positive or negative month. Remember, since WW2, the rest of the year has generally been stronger when January has been an up month versus a down month. As shown, the S&P has averaged a decline of 0.27% across all Februarys, but the index has averaged a gain of 0.37% in February when January has been up versus a decline of 1.21% in February when January has been down. The trend is the same when looking at the rest of the first half and the rest of the year.
Drilling down further, there have only been two other instances since WW2 where the S&P gained more than 5% in January after posting a double-digit percentage decline in the prior year: 1967 and 1975. See how things turned out in those years by reading today’s full Morning Lineup.
Our Morning Lineup keeps readers on top of earnings data, economic news, global headlines, and market internals. We’re biased (of course!), but we think it’s the best and most helpful pre-market report in existence!
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This week’s Bespoke Report newsletter is now available for members.
In this week’s newsletter, we’ve updated our Equity Market Risk Gauge for the month of January, and we also take a look at market technicals, improving internals, international equity market outperformance, interest rate movements, and next week’s upcoming FOMC meeting.
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Bespoke’s Crypto Report contains numerous technical, momentum, and sentiment charts for bitcoin, ethereum, and other key cryptos. Page 1 of the report includes our weekly commentary on the space and attempts to identify any new trends that are emerging. The remaining pages include important overbought/oversold levels to watch, charts on historical drawdowns and rallies, seasonality trends, futures positioning data, Google search trend shifts, and more. Our weekly Crypto Report is produced so that followers of the space can more easily stay on top of price action, technicals, seasonality, and sentiment.
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Bespoke Investment Group, LLC believes all information contained in this service to be accurate, but we do not guarantee its accuracy. None of the information in this service or any opinions expressed constitutes a solicitation of the purchase or sale of any securities, commodities, or cryptocurrencies. This service contains no buy or sell recommendations. This is not personalized advice. Investors should do their own research and/or work with an investment professional when making portfolio decisions. As always, past performance of any investment is not a guarantee of future results. Bespoke representatives or clients may have positions in securities discussed or mentioned in its published content.
Bespoke’s Conference Call Recaps provide helpful summaries of corporate conference calls throughout earnings season. We go through the conference calls of some of the most important companies in the market and summarize key topics covered by management. These recaps include information regarding each company’s financial results, growth by segment, as well as some aspects of the business that management expects to impact future results. We also identify trends emerging for the broader economy in these recaps.
Bespoke’s Conference Call Recaps are available at the Bespoke Institutional level only. You can sign up for Bespoke Institutional now and receive a 14-day trial to read our newest Conference Call recaps. To sign up, choose either the monthly or annual checkout link below:
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Below is a list of the Conference Call Recaps published during the Q3 2022 and Q4 2022 earnings reporting periods.
Q4 2022 Recaps:
Mastercard Q4 2022
Tesla Q4 2022
Microsoft Q2 2023
Johnson & Johnson Q4 2022
Netflix Q4 2022
Bank of America Q4 2022
Taiwan Semiconductor Q4 2022
Constellation Brands Q3 2023
Cintas Q2 2023
FedEx Q2 2023
Adobe Q4 2022
Lennar Q4 2022
Oracle Q2 2023
Costco Q1 2023
Lululemon Q3 2022
Q3 2022 Recaps:
NVIDIA Q3 2023
Walmart Q3 2023
Target Q3 2022
Disney Q4 2022
Zoetis Q3 2022
Generac Q3 2022
Uber Q3 2022
XPO Logistics Q3 2022
Apple Q4 2022
Amazon Q3 2022
Ford Q3 2022
Alphabet Q3 2022
Microsoft Q1 2023
Tesla Q3 2022
Netflix Q3 2022
Johnson & Johnson Q3 2022
UnitedHealth Q3 2022
JP Morgan Q3 2022
PepsiCo Q3 2022
Constellation Brands Q2 2023
Nike Q1 2023
Costco Q4 2022
Lennar Q3 2022
Adobe Q3 2022
Oracle — Q1 2023
DocuSign — Q2 2023
Lululemon — Q2 2022
Recaps published during Q3 2022 are available with a Bespoke Institutional subscription
The “Bespoke 50” is a basket of noteworthy growth stocks in the Russell 3,000. To make the list, a stock must have strong earnings growth prospects along with an attractive price chart based on Bespoke’s analysis. The Bespoke 50 is updated weekly on Thursday unless otherwise noted. There were nine changes to the list this week.
The Bespoke 50 is available with a Bespoke Premium subscription or a Bespoke Institutional subscription. You can learn more about our subscription offerings at our Membership Options page, or simply start a two-week trial at our sign-up page.
The Bespoke 50 performance chart shown does not represent actual investment results. The Bespoke 50 is updated weekly on Thursday. Performance is based on equally weighting each of the 50 stocks (2% each) and is calculated using each stock’s opening price as of Friday morning each week. Entry prices and exit prices used for stocks that are added or removed from the Bespoke 50 are based on Friday’s opening price. Any potential commissions, brokerage fees, or dividends are not included in the Bespoke 50 performance calculation, but the performance shown is net of a hypothetical annual advisory fee of 0.85%. Performance tracking for the Bespoke 50 and the Russell 3,000 total return index begins on March 5th, 2012 when the Bespoke 50 was first published. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. The Bespoke 50 is meant to be an idea generator for investors and not a recommendation to buy or sell any specific securities. It is not personalized advice because it in no way takes into account an investor’s individual needs. As always, investors should conduct their own research when buying or selling individual securities. Click here to read our full disclosure on hypothetical performance tracking. Bespoke representatives or wealth management clients may have positions in securities discussed or mentioned in its published content.
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Looking for deeper insight into markets? In tonight’s Closer sent to Bespoke Institutional clients, after a recap of tonight’s major earnings announcements, we dive into the S&P 500’s breadth breakout (page 1). We then provide a rundown of the latest GDP release (page 2) as well as the Chicago Fed’s National Activity Index (page 3). We then turn to the latest manufacturing data in the form of our Five Fed Manufacturing Composite (page 4) and durable goods (page 5). We finish with a review of new home sales (pages 6 and 7) and a review of the 7 year note auction (page 8).
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