The Closer – New Highs and No Breadth, Freight, Trade Prices – 5/14/26

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  • The rebound in AI Doom stocks has broken over the past week while proxies for OpenAI have ripped higher.
  • The past month has seen a historic consistency of new highs despite breadth hardly notching any new highs.
  • Both import and export prices rose significantly more than expected in April data.

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The Closer – Brazil, Hot PPI, Hawks Speak – 5/13/26

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  • The Brazil ETF (EWZ) was down 4% today, breaking support at its 50-DMA.
  • Other than the 2022-2022 period of very high inflation, April saw the highest PPI reading since the current iteration of the final demand series was introduced back in 2010.
  • Today’s Fedspeak in the wake of the latest inflation data was decisively hawkish.

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The Closer – Overbought, Metals, CPI – 5/12/26

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  • The Nasdaq 100 reached a 14-day RSI reading above 80 each of the past two days.
  • Copper rose to a new 52-week high while silver has also begun to move higher. The chart for gold is looking less constructive.
  • CPI saw the second largest leap in core prices since 2023, however, that acceleration  was entirely due to vagaries of the rent calculation.

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