Dividend Yields vs. Treasury Yields

While down a bit today, this week has seen a spike in long-term Treasury yields.  Given the surge in yields, there has been a shake-up in the relationship between Treasury yields and dividend yields for stocks.  As shown below, currently only 7.9% of stocks in the S&P 500 have dividend yields above the 10-year Treasury yield (4.59% at the time of writing).  Additionally, only 12.1% of stocks in the index have dividend yields above that of the 2-year Treasury (4.0%).

Of course, yield dynamics are different for different sectors.  As shown below, Real Estate has the highest percentage of stocks with dividend yields above the yield on the 10-year and 2-year.  Energy, Utilities, and Materials are the sectors with the next largest shares, whereas cyclical groups like Tech, Industrials, and Consumer Discretionary hardly have any members with dividend yields larger than Treasury yields.

At the moment, there are 40 S&P 500 stocks with higher dividend yields than the 10-year yield, and we list them below.  Two Materials stocks top the list with 9%+ dividend yields and over 20% declines on the year.

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The Closer – Aggressive Auction Losses, Retail Rebound – 5/21/25

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Looking for deeper insight into markets? In tonight’s Closer sent to Bespoke Institutional clients, we start with a look at the historic reaction stocks had to today’s 20-year bond auction (page 1).  We also show some other drivers of equity market performance (page 2) followed by a look into the big moves in retail stocks (page 3).

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The Closer – Loss of AAA, S&P Addition, Canada – 5/20/25

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Looking for deeper insight into markets? In tonight’s Closer sent to Bespoke Institutional clients, we begin with further analysis into the US debt downgrade (page 1) followed by a look at S&P 500 additions (page 2). Next we dive into the rally in Canadian stocks (page 3) and the latest CPI data for that country (page 4). We close out with a review of the latest regional Fed data (page 5).

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