Gold Tarnished

The end of October is now here and barring a massive turnaround by the close, gold is on pace to once again end the month lower. Gold peaked back in August of 2020, but since the spring it has taken a more dramatic leg lower. In spite of a high inflationary environment, the often-considered to be go-to inflation hedge has been on a relentless streak of declines. With October’s lower close month to date, gold has now dropped for a record seven months in a row.  Going back to 1975, there have been a handful of other streaks lasting for five or six months, but none until now extended out to seven.

Although the current decline has been a record in length, the degree to which gold has fallen during it has not been as severe as some of the prior streaks of 5 months or more. For example, in 1976, 1981, and 1982 gold fell well over 20% compared to the current 16.1% decline.  While we do not have a crystal ball to see if gold will end this streak in November, we would note that during the month that snaps these streaks, gold’s performance tends to be particularly strong with an average gain of 5.5% compared to the norm of only a 0.5% rally for all months since 1975. Similarly, gold tends to find itself higher three, six, and twelve months later with stronger than normal performance.  Click here to learn more about Bespoke’s premium stock market research service.

Bespoke’s Crypto Report — 10/28/22

Bespoke’s Crypto Report contains numerous technical, momentum, and sentiment charts for bitcoin, ethereum, and other key cryptos.  Page 1 of the report includes our weekly commentary on the space and attempts to identify any new trends that are emerging.  The remaining pages include important overbought/oversold levels to watch, charts on historical drawdowns and rallies, seasonality trends, futures positioning data, Google search trend shifts, and more.  Our weekly Crypto Report is produced so that followers of the space can more easily stay on top of price action, technicals, seasonality, and sentiment.

Sign up for a monthly or annual subscription to Bespoke Crypto to receive our weekly Crypto Report and anything else we publish related to cryptos.  Note: If you’re currently a Bespoke Premium, Bespoke Newsletter, or Bespoke Institutional subscriber, you’ll need to subscribe to Bespoke Crypto as an add-on to receive access.  The weekly Crypto Report and any additional crypto analysis is not included with our Premium, Newsletter, or Institutional memberships.  You can sign up for Bespoke Crypto and receive our Crypto Report in your inbox weekly using the monthly or annual checkout links below.  If you sign up for the annual plan, the first year of access is 50% off!

Bespoke Crypto Access — Monthly Payment Plan ($49/mth)

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Bespoke Investment Group, LLC believes all information contained in this service to be accurate, but we do not guarantee its accuracy. None of the information in this service or any opinions expressed constitutes a solicitation of the purchase or sale of any securities, commodities, or cryptocurrencies. This service contains no buy or sell recommendations. This is not personalized advice. Investors should do their own research and/or work with an investment professional when making portfolio decisions. As always, past performance of any investment is not a guarantee of future results. Bespoke representatives or clients may have positions in securities discussed or mentioned in its published content.

The Closer – Meta: Mega Cap No More, 50-DMA Fumble, GDP, Durable Goods – 10/27/22

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Looking for deeper insight into markets? In tonight’s Closer sent to Bespoke Institutional clients, we begin tonight with a look at Meta Platform’s (META) fall from grace as well as the S&P 500’s rejection of its 50-day moving average (page 1).  We follow up with a look at the first release of Q3 GDP (page 2) followed by a review of durable good orders (page 3). Afterward, we provide an update of our 5 Fed manufacturing composite with the addition of the Kansas City Fed (page 4) before closing out with a review of the latest 7 year note auction (page 5).

See today’s full post-market Closer and everything else Bespoke publishes by starting a 14-day trial to Bespoke Institutional today!