The Closer – Oracle Credit Spreads, Trade, Postings – 12/11/25

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Looking for deeper insight into markets? In tonight’s Closer sent to Bespoke Institutional clients, we lead off with a dive into the surge in Oracle (ORCL) credit spreads in addition to an update on Fed appointments and some earnings recaps (page 1). We then pivot the latest jobless claims data (page 2) followed by trade balance figures (pages 3 and 4). We close out by recapping the latest job postings data from Indeed (pages 5 and 6).

See today’s full post-market Closer and everything else Bespoke publishes by starting a 14-day trial to Bespoke Institutional today!

Cisco (CSCO) Returns to Dot Com Highs

At yesterday’s close, something happened that hasn’t in over a quarter of a century: Cisco (CSCO) closed at a record high. As shown below, the stock’s Dot Com era peak of $80.06 had stood in place for more than 25 years.  While a hypothetical investor who bought right at the 2000 peak may finally see their share price in the green, we would note that the company’s valuation as of yesterday’s close is far smaller than it was back then (a $317 billion market cap versus $550 billion in 2000).

Cisco is not the only mega-cap of yesteryear to have recently touched fresh records. Back in September, General Electric (GE) finally eclipsed its August 28, 2000 high of $287.17.  The stock continued to rally up through late October when it stalled out at $314.28 and today is back in the $280 price range. Again, like CSCO, General Electric may finally be in the green on a price basis, but its market cap remains a couple hundred billion dollars less from where it was in the year 2000.  In fact, it’s not even back to levels it stood at during the Financial Crisis.  This comes as GE has undergone a number of restructurings, divestures, and the likes in the past couple of decades. Whereas the company in the 2000s was an enormous industrial conglomerate, today GE is primarily its aerospace business. In other words, it is hard to compare GE of today to GE from 2000.

The Dot Com Era’s peak came in March 2000 when the tech-heavy Nasdaq hit its high.  Using 3/10/2000 as the reference point, below we show the 10 largest stocks in the Russell 1,000 from that time.  At the top of the list, the name should look familiar given it remains one of the world’s largest companies today: Microsoft (MSFT).  This dominant stock has rallied over 700% since its late 1999 high although it had been in the red versus that peak up until October 2016. The next two largest stocks from back then are also the two that most recently returned to prior highs: CSCO and GE. Given this development, there are now only two former top 10 stocks that have yet to return to their 1999/2000 highs: Intel (INTC) and Nokia (NOK).

The Closer – FOMC, SEP, ECI – 12/10/25

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Looking for deeper insight into markets? In tonight’s Closer sent to Bespoke Institutional clients, we start out with a recap of the Fed day including the SEP update (page 1), the development of bill purchases (page 2), and market reactions (page 3).  We then provide an update on the Employment Cost Index and Oracle (ORCL) earnings (page 4) before closing out with a look into the latest sentiment data (page 5).

See today’s full post-market Closer and everything else Bespoke publishes by starting a 14-day trial to Bespoke Institutional today!