Mar 5, 2026
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- Front month crude oil is setting up for a golden cross; a technical pattern that has historically played out to be less bullish than its reputation implies.
- The closure of Hormuz has resulted in extreme upside skew in options markets for crude oil.
- Labor productivity received material upward revisions for the past six quarters.
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Mar 4, 2026
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- Korean stocks have fallen close to 20% in the past three days; one of the largest declines on record.
- The Beige Book has seen a drop off in the number of mentions of tariffs, uncertainty, and layoffs.
- The situation in Iran has sent diesel prices exploding higher when trucking per mile prices are already rising rapidly.
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Mar 3, 2026
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- US equity leverage is currently modest at 0.8x, but bond markets are showing elevated leverage levels.
- Volatility is rising across assets with crude oil being the most pronounced example as the oil VIX is now at the highest level since the onset of the Russia-Ukraine war.
- The Logistics Managers Index showed significant expansion in transportation prices.
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