The Closer – Korea Crushed, Beige Book, Trucking – 3/4/26

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  • Korean stocks have fallen close to 20% in the past three days; one of the largest declines on record.
  • The Beige Book has seen a drop off in the number of mentions of tariffs, uncertainty, and layoffs.
  • The situation in Iran has sent diesel prices exploding higher when trucking per mile prices are already rising rapidly.

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The Closer – Leverage, Oil Vol, KISS Basket – 3/3/26

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  • US equity leverage is currently modest at 0.8x, but bond markets are showing elevated leverage levels.
  • Volatility is rising across assets with crude oil being the most pronounced example as the oil VIX is now at the highest level since the onset of the Russia-Ukraine war.
  • The Logistics Managers Index showed significant expansion in transportation prices.

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The Closer – Reversals, LNG and Rates, PMIs – 3/2/26

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  • Today’s morning selloff in stocks appeared to be severe at first, but equities managed to pivot into the green by the close.
  • Energy stocks and prices caught a bid on the latest Iran news while US LNG exports continue to swell.
  • ISM Manufacturing data indicated continued robust activity in the month of February.

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