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Looking for deeper insight on markets? In tonight’s Closer sent to Bespoke Institutional clients, we begin with a look at forward returns when investment grade credit makes 52-week lows and the price action in small caps and EURUSD in reference to their moving averages. We also show models using credit spreads, rates, and Citi Economic Surprise indices as inputs to predict EURUSD and bank movements. Turning to economic data, we recap today’s surprisingly weak Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity Index and what it means for our Five Fed Composite. We finish with a glance at Mexican economic activity.
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