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“If you don’t occasionally make a mistake, you’re not doing your job.” – Jim Sinegal

Below is a snippet of commentary from today’s Morning Lineup. Start a two-week trial to Bespoke Premium to view the full report.  

There wasn’t a lot of action going on in the markets this morning. That was up until just a few minutes ago when the President started “truthing” about China, and said “No more Mr. Nice Guy!” Futures on both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq quickly went from unchanged to down about 0.5%. European stocks were higher but have given up some of their gains, while Asian stocks fell on the on/off/now back on Trump tariffs. Like the equity market, treasuries are little changed. Crude oil is one of the bigger movers this morning with a gain of just over 1% while gold, the dollar, and crypto are all in the red.

It may be Friday, but there’s a busy batch of economic data on the calendar with Personal Income and Spending, PCE, Chicago PMI, and Michigan Sentiment.

One of the more high-profile earnings reports since yesterday’s close was Costco (COST), which reported better than expected EPS on inline sales and an 8% increase in comp sales. COST is trading marginally lower in response to the report, with the stock on pace to gap down about 0.5% at the open. What’s notable about this morning’s weakness is that it continues a trend that has been in place for the stock since the start of 2022. As shown in the table below, not including this morning, shares of COST have gapped down in reaction to 11 of its last 13 earnings reports. Another negative open today would make it 12 out of the last 14!