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“You need to get one thing done well, or else you don’t have permission to do anything else.” – Larry Page

Morning stock market summary

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After a strong week, equity futures are taking a breather this morning as they await an agreement progress on the debt ceiling.  Interest rates are higher once again this morning, and European stocks are lower following the release of PMI data for May. Those indices for the US will be released at 9:45, and then at 10 AM, we’ll get the releases of New Home Sales and the Richmond Fed Manufacturing reports.

How many times over the last six months have you heard someone say that Alphabet (GOOGL) missed the boat on AI to Microsoft (MSFT)?  Things really got bad for GOOGL after the rushed launch of Bard, its answer to ChatGPT, earlier this year.  At that point, GOOGL was underperforming MSFT by a high single-digit percentage margin since the launch of ChatGPT at the end of November, and more than a few were questioning the company’s future.  At its I/O event two weeks ago, though, GOOGL had a much more impressive presentation related to how it was incorporating AI tools into its services, and the stock has come climbing back nearly erasing all its post-ChatGPT underperformance gaining 24% compared to MSFT’s 26% since the launch on 11/30/22. While Alphabet may not have originally done AI well, after the improved showing at the I/O event, the market is giving the stock, to borrow from the Page quote above, ‘permission’ to rally.

GOOGL’s recent performance hasn’t just been notable in that it has made up much of the ground that separated it from MSFT, but also, over the last ten trading days, it has rallied over 15% taking the stock to 52-week highs. While the stock remains more than 17% below its all-time highs from 2021, when a stock is trading at its highest levels in over a year, ‘missing the boat’ is not the first phrase that comes to mind.

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None of the information in this report or any opinions expressed constitutes a solicitation of the purchase or sale of any securities or commodities. This is not personalized advice. Investors should do their own research and/or work with an investment professional when making portfolio decisions. As always, past performance of any investment is not a guarantee of future results. Bespoke representatives or clients may have positions in securities discussed or mentioned in its published content.

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