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“The most difficult thing is the decision to act, the rest is merely tenacity.” – Amelia Earhart
Below is a snippet of commentary from today’s Morning Lineup. Start a two-week trial to Bespoke Premium to view the full report.
It’s another quiet morning in terms of economic data this morning with no scheduled reports on the calendar, but a few earnings reports are driving the direction of futures, including reports from Lowe’s (LOW), Macy’s (M), and Palo Alto Networks (PANW). Overnight and this morning, the general tone of equities in Asia and Europe has been to the downside, and oil and gold are trading lower as well. The only real asset class that is moving notably higher is crypto where Bitcoin and Ethereum are both sharply higher. Equity futures are essentially flat, although slightly higher.
While there are no economic reports on the calendar, there’s a ton of Fed speak to contend with this morning, so keep on your toes in terms of any potential tape bombs throughout the morning.
The S&P 500 closed just two cents shy of its closing 52-week high from last week yesterday, but Communications Services and Technology managed to close at their respective highs. As shown in the chart below, the only other sectors that have traded at 52-week highs in the last week were Financials, Consumer Staples, and Utilities. Meanwhile, more than half of the S&P 500’s sectors haven’t traded at a 52-week high in at least a month, and for two sectors – Consumer Discretionary and Real Estate – their respective closing 52-week highs were more than two months ago.
Most sectors may have gone more than a month without a 52-week high, but that doesn’t mean they aren’t knocking on the door. As shown below, Real Estate is the only sector that’s more than 5% from a 52-week high, and only two other sectors (Energy and Consumer Discretionary) are more than 1.5% from a 52-week high. In other words, it won’t take much to put most sectors over the hump.
Below we show the charts for the six sector ETFs whose 52-week highs were at least a month ago. Here again, these charts illustrate just how close most sectors are to 52-week highs with the only exceptions being Energy (XLE), Real Estate (XLRE), and Consumer Discretionary (XLY).
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