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“When it’s grim, be the Grim Reaper and go get it.” – Andy Reid

Morning stock market summary

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If you were thinking that there was something familiar about the market last week, you weren’t going crazy.  With Communications Services (-5.57%) and Consumer Discretionary (-2.11%) leading the way to the downside and Energy (+4.94%) leading to the upside, it was basically a replay of 2022.  Although last week also reflected a fair amount of mean reversion from the YTD moves of 2023, there’s still a good amount of dispersion in the market as six sectors finished the week at overbought levels, three were oversold and just two were neutral.  With the oversold camp comprised of Consumer Staples, Health Care, and Utilities, it hasn’t been an especially strong showing for defensive sectors which is something that the defenses of both the Chiefs and Eagles can empathize with. It was such a poor showing for both defenses last night, in fact, that the total of 73 points was the third-highest total of any game, and it was the first time that both teams scored 35 points or more.

Look on the bright side, though, in the ten prior Super Bowls where the total was 60 or more, the S&P 500’s rest of year performance was a gain of 11.7% with positive returns nine out of ten times.  The only exception was Super Bowl LII when the Eagles took out the Patriots 41-33 in what was the second-highest-scoring Super Bowl of all time.

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