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Morning stock market summary

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Equity futures are trading higher for what seems like a change this morning after the S&P 500 has posted five straight days of losses.  Positive earnings news seems to be driving the gains.  We’re starting to see a heavier flow of larger companies report, and this morning’s batch has been generally better than expected.  The real test will come after the close, though, as we’ll hear from Alphabet (GOOGL) and Microsoft (MSFT) after the close. Treasury yields and crude oil are generally behaving this morning, and the only data on the economic calendar is preliminary PMI readings for the Manufacturing and Services sectors, as well as the Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index.

After trading in a relatively tight range over the last six months and seeing its daily volatility converge to levels more in line with a long-term US Treasury, bitcoin prices have been rallying over the last few days, capping it off with a gain of nearly 10% today.  Prices briefly surged past $35,000 overnight, and while they have pulled back from those highs, the world’s largest cryptocurrency is on pace for its highest close since May 2022.  Optimism over approval for a spot ETF has been cited for the gain, but rising geo-political instability and concerns over sovereign debt loads can’t be ruled out either.

While prices got there briefly overnight, bitcoin is currently on pace to come up just short of a double-digit single-day percentage gain.  Heading into today, the current streak without a one-day gain of at least 10% was 224 calendar days (bitcoin trades every day) which ranked as the longest streak since the 229-day streak that ended in November 2018. Before that, the only other streak that was longer was the 272 days ending in March 2017.

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