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“The more they actually know, the less confident they become.” – Charles Dow

Morning stock market summary

Below is a snippet of commentary from today’s Morning Lineup.  Start a two-week trial to Bespoke Premium to view the full report.  

It’s been a very quiet morning in the futures market as the Dow is indicated to open higher by less than 20 points while the S&P 500 is expected to gain less than three points.  The Nasdaq is looking stronger, as it has all year, and is currently looking at a gain of 45 points. Europe has been just as quiet as things here in the US are as most major averages in the region are up or down less than five basis points (bps). The economic calendar is quiet again this morning as the Richmond Fed Manufacturing survey is the only report on the calendar.

On the earnings front, the pace of reports has picked up this morning with several Dow components reporting (discussed in the commentary section of this morning’s report), and after the close, we’ll hear from Baker Hughes (BKR), Intuitive Surgical (ISRG), Netflix (NFLX), Steel Dynamics (STLD), and Texas Instruments (TXN).

Just 40 days after crossing 37,000 for the first time in the first half of December, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, “America’s stock market index” never looked back and crossed 38,000 yesterday for the first time. The path from 37,000 to 38,000 was certainly smoother than the run from 36,000 to 37,000 which took almost 20 times longer than the latest 1,000-point run.  Even though the run from 36,000 to 37,000 was a move of less than 3%, it was the longest period between 1,000-point thresholds since the 2,119-day gap between 14,000 and 15,000 (a move of over 7%) and the sixth longest ever. Meanwhile, this latest 1,000-point move was the eighth fastest. Lastly, while it’s entirely possible and even likely that the DJIA will at some point pullback below 37,000, at this point the only other 1,000-point threshold that has never been crossed to the downside is Dow 5,000.

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