Daily Sector Snapshot — 2/5/25
The Triple Play Report — 2/5/25
An earnings triple play is a stock that reports earnings and manages to 1) beat analyst EPS estimates, 2) beat analyst sales estimates, and 3) raise forward guidance. You can read more about “triple plays” at Investopedia.com where they’ve given Bespoke credit for popularizing the term. We like triple plays as an indication that a company’s business is firing on all cylinders, with better-than-expected results and an improving outlook. A triple play is indicative of positive “fundamental momentum” instead of pure fundamentals, and there are always plenty of names with both high and low valuations on our quarterly list.
Bespoke’s Triple Play Report highlights companies that have recently reported earnings triple plays, and it features commentary from management on triple-play conference calls, company descriptions and analysis, and price charts. Bespoke’s Triple Play Report is available at the Bespoke Institutional level only. You can sign up for Bespoke Institutional now and receive a 14-day trial to read this week’s Triple Play Report, which features 23 new stocks. To sign up, choose either the monthly or annual checkout link below:
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Celestica (CLS) is an example of a company that recently reported an earnings triple play; its fourth triple play in the last five quarters. The stock was up 13.6% the following day (1/30), stacking up the gains after the previous quarter’s earnings reaction that swung shares 18.2% higher. Since last September, CLS has risen close to 250%. Zooming further out, the stock has been a “10-bagger” (up 1,000%+) since the start of 2023.
Looking at the snapshot below from our Earnings Explorer, CLS results have been very consistent against estimates since 2019. Confidence has only been growing with the number of triple plays reported recently.
Celestica specializes in electronic manufacturing and has seen growth from its Advanced Technology Solutions (ATS) and Connectivity & Cloud Solutions (CCS) segments, particularly benefiting from AI-driven demand in its hyperscale and networking businesses. AI-driven infrastructure investments are scaling faster than expected, and hyperscalers are prioritizing liquid cooling and high-density networking hardware. CLS is gaining share in AI server and networking deployments, which it expects to drive double-digit CCS growth in 2025. Geopolitical tensions and increased military budgets are also driving sustained demand in defense electronics and satellite communications. You can read more about CLS and the 22 other triple plays we covered in our newest report by starting a Bespoke Institutional trial today.
Bespoke Investment Group, LLC believes all information contained in these reports to be accurate, but we do not guarantee its accuracy. None of the information in these reports or any opinions expressed constitutes a solicitation of the purchase or sale of any securities or commodities. This is not personalized advice. Investors should do their own research and/or work with an investment professional when making portfolio decisions. As always, past performance of any investment is not a guarantee of future results. Bespoke representatives or clients may have positions in securities discussed or mentioned in its published content.
Chart of the Day – Triple Plays Reacting Positively
Bespoke’s Morning Lineup – 2/5/25 – The Overbought, the Neutral, and Tech
See what’s driving market performance around the world in today’s Morning Lineup. Bespoke’s Morning Lineup is the best way to start your trading day. Read it now by starting a two-week trial to Bespoke Premium. CLICK HERE to learn more and start your trial.
“The reason we are so excited about the AI opportunity is we know we can drive extraordinary use cases because the cost of actually using it is going to keep coming down” – Sundar Pichai
Below is a snippet of commentary from today’s Morning Lineup. Start a two-week trial to Bespoke Premium to view the full report.
US equity futures are lower this morning but off their overnight lows. Weakness is concentrated in the Nasdaq where negative earnings reports are weighing on some notable names. Crude oil and Treasury yields are lower on the morning while gold makes a run for $2,900 per ounce.
For Alphabet (GOOGL), the last two months must feel like Charlie Brown trying to kick the football. For several weeks, the stock made multiple attempts to break above $200, and each time it got there, the rug was pulled out from under it and it finished back below that level by the end of the day. Last week, GOOGL finally got and stayed above $200. Yesterday, the stock traded up more than 2.5% to a record high. Then the Q4 earnings report hit.
While the company reported better-than-expected EPS, revenues came in slightly weaker than expected due to slower-than-expected growth in its cloud services business. The company also shocked the street by saying that it plans to spend approximately $75 billion on cap ex this year, up over 40% from 2024 and significantly above forecasts of around $59 billion.
While company officials attributed the slowdown in cloud sales growth to a problem with capacity rather than demand, and most other divisions within the company saw better-than-expected results, shares of GOOGL immediately traded lower in after-market trading. While the stock is modestly off its overnight lows, it’s still down 7.2% relative to Tuesday’s close. As shares open for trading this morning, rather than being at record highs, shares of GOOGL will be struggling to hang on to their 50-day moving average.
The Closer – Cruising to New Highs, Jobs, Inventories – 2/4/25
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Looking for deeper insight into markets? In tonight’s Closer sent to Bespoke Institutional clients, we start out with a look into the massive recovery in cruise stocks (page 1). We then look at the latest job openings data through Indeed (page 2) and JOLTS data sets (page 3). Next, we review the latest Fedspeak and earnings (page 4) before switching over to a look at housing inventories (pages 5 and 6) and delinquency data (page 7).
See today’s full post-market Closer and everything else Bespoke publishes by starting a 14-day trial to Bespoke Institutional today!
Daily Sector Snapshot — 2/4/25
January 2025 Headlines
Chart of the Day – Strange Bedfellows
Bespoke’s Paul Hickey on CNBC’s Squawk Box (2/4/25)
Bespoke’s Paul Hickey was invited on CNBC’s Squawk Box on 2/4/25 to discuss markets. You can watch the segment by clicking here or on the image below:
Bespoke’s Morning Lineup — 2/4/25
See what’s driving market performance around the world in today’s Morning Lineup. Bespoke’s Morning Lineup is the best way to start your trading day. Read it now by starting a two-week trial to Bespoke Premium. CLICK HERE to learn more and start your trial.
“I think that people just have this core desire to express who they are. And I think that’s always existed.” – Mark Zuckerberg
Below is a snippet of commentary from today’s Morning Lineup. Start a two-week trial to Bespoke Premium to view the full report.
US equity futures are flat this morning after a wild Monday that saw the major indices gap down 1%+ but recover about half of that during the trading day. While Mexico and the US came to an agreement to delay tariffs by 30 days around lunch time, Canada and the US didn’t agree to their short-term truce until just after the close.
Today is the 21st birthday of Facebook, which was launched by Mark Zuckerberg in his Harvard dorm on 2/4/2004. Below is a snapshot of one of the first versions of the Facebook profile, which was entirely used on desktops and laptops at that point because the iPhone was still a few years away.
It took eight years from launch for Facebook (now META) to IPO. Below is a look at the growth of a $10,000 investment in META at its IPO price back in May 2012. $10k at the IPO held through yesterday’s close would now be worth roughly $184,200, but it certainly didn’t get there in a straight line.
Recall that META went “all-in” on the metaverse in the early 2020s, which, combined with a nasty bear market for growth stocks, resulted in a 76% drawdown from September 2021 to November 2022.
At its lows in late 2022, a $10k investment at META’s IPO in 2004 had fallen from more than $100k at its 2021 peak all the way down to just $23,400.
Zuckerberg reversed course on the metaverse to try and stop the bleeding, and he dubbed 2023 the “year of efficiency” for the company. Around the same time, ChatGPT came along to start the AI Boom. Since its lows in 2022, META has rallied nearly 700% and currently sits at all-time highs.
