Mar 17, 2026
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- Since the last FOMC meeting on January 28th, the Fed Funds future curve has shifted justifiably and dramatically.
- Stocks with the highest international revenue exposure have seen large moves since the start of the war in Iran.
- February saw a steep decline in the number of consumers receiving rejections after applying for credit.
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Mar 16, 2026
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- Despite the dip today, front month WTI is rising at a $2/day pace.
- Positioning data is beginning to reflect adjustments in energy and agriculture commodity futures as a result of the closure of the Strait Hormuz.
- Consumer lending, private equity, and private credit stocks are down as IG credit spreads have soared.
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Mar 12, 2026
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- Retail flows and options volumes have moderated in the past year.
- US based fertilizer prices have now risen 29% MTD thanks to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz.
- The December 2026 Fed Funds rate implied by futures markets is now at the highest level since February of last year.
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Mar 11, 2026
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- CPI came in right in line with expectations in February as deceleration in supercore services acts as a major factor.
- As the IEA announces release of emergency stockpiles, US strategic petroleum reserves are hardly recovered from massive drawdowns following the invasion of Ukraine.
- Retail investor sentiment experienced one of the largest monthly increases on record in February.
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Mar 10, 2026
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- Amazon (AMZN) is the latest IG borrower to tap the bond market for capital for data centers, and today’s tranche ranked as the fourth-largest IG bond sale ever..
- Business development companies have gotten crushed over the past year resulting in some high yields and extreme valuations.
- Falling mortgage rates, little changing home prices, and and steady wage growth have benefitted housing affordability.
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Mar 9, 2026
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- Markets continue to try to make sense of the Iran situation, making for a historic reversal today for crude prices.
- High volatility has showed that it works both ways with both crude and equities rebounding from sizable losses.
- Preliminary EPA estimates showed that nearly a third of consumer vehicles sold were EVs, hybrids, or fuel cell last year.
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