Our Seasonality tool is a great way for investors and traders to gauge seasonal patterns for both the overall market and individual stocks. In the tool, users can create custom screens for different time periods to see which stocks have performed the best and worst over a given time period. At the top of the tool each day, we include gauges like the one below which shows the S&P 500’s median historical performance over the upcoming week, month, and quarter. When the reading on the gauge is low, it indicates that the upcoming week, month, or quarter ranks near the bottom relative to all other similar periods throughout the year, while higher readings indicate that the performance ranks high relative to all other periods.
As shown in the current one-week gauge, seasonal patterns suggest that the upcoming week isn’t one of the best weeks of the year. Over the last ten years, the S&P 500’s median return of 0.07% ranks in just the 38th percentile relative to all other one week periods. While still a positive return, the performance is nothing to write home about.
While the upcoming week has been a period of ho-hum returns for the market, the upcoming one and three month periods have historically been much closer to extremes relative to all other periods, and in our latest B.I.G. Tips report, we provided a detailed look at market seasonality in the upcoming one and three month periods. In it, we have also included a look at which ETFs have historically followed and bucked the seasonal trend during this period.
For anyone with more than a passing interest in the market’s seasonal patterns, this report is a must-read. To see it, sign up for a monthly Bespoke Premium membership now!