The Closer – 50-DMA, Rates Rise, Turndown Tuesday, Clean Energy, Cooling Days – 8/15/23
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Looking for deeper insight into markets? In tonight’s Closer sent to Bespoke Institutional clients, we kick off with a look at future performance based on a number of technical happenings of the S&P 500 and 10 year yields (pages 1 and 2). We then switch over to a look at the EIA’s monthly snapshot of US energy usage (pages 3 and 4) and CO2 emissions (page 5).
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Daily Sector Snapshot — 8/15/23
This content is for members onlyBespoke Stock Scores — 8/15/23
This content is for members onlyHomebuilders Consolidating
As the national average for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage eclipsed 7.5%recently, homebuilder sentiment has turned lower. The Housing Market Index from the NAHB fell to 50 in August from 56 the previous month. That six point drop month over month ranks as the eleventh largest decline in the survey’s nearly 40-year history.
Homebuilders reported significantly weaker sentiment across the board with mid-single digit declines for present and futures sales as well as traffic. Geographically likewise also saw broad declines. The West experienced the biggest drop and now has the lowest reading with respect to its historical range. Meanwhile, the Northeast index has managed to hold at a more historically healthy level, albeit it too fell significantly in August.
Homebuilder stocks are trading higher today, but they have come well off the early highs since the release of the sentiment numbers. As things stand for the group, the past month has seen the homebuilders consolidating as they continue to trade handily above their respective 50-DMAs.
