Fixed Income Weekly: 9/14/22
Searching for ways to better understand the fixed income space or looking for actionable ideas in this asset class? Bespoke’s Fixed Income Weekly provides an update on rates and credit every Wednesday. We start off with a fresh piece of analysis driven by what’s in the headlines or driving the market in a given week. We then provide charts of how US Treasury futures and rates are trading, before moving on to a summary of recent fixed income ETF performance, short-term interest rates including money market funds, and a trade idea. We summarize changes and recent developments for a variety of yield curves (UST, bund, Eurodollar, US breakeven inflation and Bespoke’s Global Yield Curve) before finishing with a review of recent UST yield curve changes, spread changes for major credit products and international bonds, and 1 year return profiles for a cross section of the fixed income world.
In this week’s report we scour inflation markets for evidence of concern over excessive price pressures.
Our Fixed Income Weekly helps investors stay on top of fixed income markets and gain new perspective on the developments in interest rates. You can sign up for a Bespoke research trial below to see this week’s report and everything else Bespoke publishes free for the next two weeks!
Click here and start a 14-day free trial to Bespoke Institutional to see our newest Fixed Income Weekly now!
Bespoke Brunch Reads: 9/11/22
Welcome to Bespoke Brunch Reads — a linkfest of the favorite things we read over the past week. The links are mostly market related, but there are some other interesting subjects covered as well. We hope you enjoy the food for thought as a supplement to the research we provide you during the week.
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Tech Dystopia
The Rise of Mobile Gambling Is Leaving People Ruined and Unable to Quit by Maxwell Strachan (Vice)
Problem gamblers used to have to drive to a casino or at least a gas station. Now, smartphones deliver a near-constant barrage of prompts and opportunities to gamble, creating disastrous consequences for personalities who are attracted to risk. [Link]
‘It’s a slippery slope’: Most consumers underestimate monthly subscription costs by at least $100, study says by Sarah O’Brien (CNBC)
Low monthly prices, automatic payments, and easy sign-ups mean that consumers are paying over $100/month in forgotten subscriptions. [Link]
China
China’s COVID-19 Stagnation Has No End in Sight by James Palmer (Foreign Policy)
Political leadership remains anchored to its zero COVID policy. [Link]
China’s Economic Slump Bodes Ill for Birth Numbers by Liyan Qi (WSJ)
Low birth rates mean Chinese deaths are set to outnumber births as soon as this year; models suggest the total population is set to fall from just over 1.4bn to below 800mm by the end of this century. [Link; soft paywall]
Ukraine
‘We have already lost’: far-right Russian bloggers slam military failures by Pjotr Sauer (The Guardian)
Far right military bloggers in China are starting to lose hope that the country’s invasion may eventually succeed as Russian lines collapsed in the country’s east and south this week. [Link]
Russia Is Buying North Korean Artillery, According to U.S. Intelligence by Julian E. Barnes (NYT)
Facing shortages of key inputs for construction of even the most basic military equipment, Russia is turning to minor allies to source warfighting material. [Link; soft paywall]
Loosening Markets
Housing Market Update: Mortgage Rate Spike Further Cools Homebuying and Selling by Tim Ellis (Redfin)
Some markets are starting to see outright price declines as new listings plunge, price cuts abound, and the combination of soaring mortgage rates and sky-high prices destroy demand. [Link]
Ocean Shipping Rates Have Plunged 60% This Year by Costas Paris (WSJ)
After a desperate scramble to book freight capacity amidst an avalanche of demand for goods, retailers are faced with inventory overhangs and the freight market is falling apart with shipping rates collapsing in 2022. [Link; paywall]
Retail Activity
Robinhood Unveils Index to Track Customers’ Favored Stocks by Alexander Osipovich (WSJ)
A new index constructed by free-to-trade brokerage Robinhood weights stocks by their customers’ “conviction” or relative frequency shares are held in customers’ accounts. [Link; paywall]
EXCLUSIVE Deal partner for Trump’s Truth Social fails to get backing for SPAC extension -sources by Svea Herbst-Bayliss (Reuters)
As a deadline to approve the proposed blank check takeover of Trump’s nascent social media company loomed, the transaction looked like it might be in doubt. [Link]
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Have a great weekend!
Fixed Income Weekly: 9/7/22
Searching for ways to better understand the fixed income space or looking for actionable ideas in this asset class? Bespoke’s Fixed Income Weekly provides an update on rates and credit every Wednesday. We start off with a fresh piece of analysis driven by what’s in the headlines or driving the market in a given week. We then provide charts of how US Treasury futures and rates are trading, before moving on to a summary of recent fixed income ETF performance, short-term interest rates including money market funds, and a trade idea. We summarize changes and recent developments for a variety of yield curves (UST, bund, Eurodollar, US breakeven inflation and Bespoke’s Global Yield Curve) before finishing with a review of recent UST yield curve changes, spread changes for major credit products and international bonds, and 1 year return profiles for a cross section of the fixed income world.
In this week’s report we take a look at the collateral shortage wracking European fixed income markets.
Our Fixed Income Weekly helps investors stay on top of fixed income markets and gain new perspective on the developments in interest rates. You can sign up for a Bespoke research trial below to see this week’s report and everything else Bespoke publishes free for the next two weeks!
Click here and start a 14-day free trial to Bespoke Institutional to see our newest Fixed Income Weekly now!