Highest and Lowest Price to Sales (P/S) Ratios

In the S&P 1500, which encompasses the large-cap S&P 500, the Mid Cap 400, and the Small Cap 600, there are just under 1,175 stocks that have positive next-year EPS estimates and trailing 12-month revenues of more than $1 billion.  We wanted to see which stocks of this group currently have the highest and lowest forward price-to-sales ratios.  For those that aren’t familiar with the price-to-sales ratio, it’s simply a stock’s current market cap divided by annual sales (in this case, forward 12-month consensus sales estimates).

Of the 1,150+ stocks that fit our initial criteria, the average stock currently has a forward price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 2.59, but the median is significantly lower at 1.73.

Notably, 31 stocks currently have forward P/S ratios greater than 10, meaning their market cap is 10x larger than projected annual sales.  That’s a very high P/S ratio, and the company better be growing significantly if it hopes to maintain that type of multiple.  Collectively, these 31 stocks are up an average of 43.34% over the last year!  Below is the list for those interested.

NVIDIA (NVDA) currently has the highest forward price-to-sales ratio at 18.9.  Its shares are up 211.7% over the last year.

Five other stocks have P/S ratios above 15: Fair Isaac (FICO), Eli Lilly (LLY), Cadence Design (CDNS), Intuitive Surgical (ISRG), and Monolithic Power (MPWR).  Credit card companies Visa (V) and Mastercard (MA) both have 14x P/S ratios, and a few other very notable large-caps that have 10+ P/S ratios include Microsoft (MSFT), Broadcom (AVGO), and Texas Instruments (TXN).  Clearly, many of the Tech stocks on this list have seen massive gains since late 2022 from the current AI boom, and investors are still expecting BIG things in the years ahead to justify these kinds of multiples.  They have a lot to live up to indeed.

On the flip side are the stocks with the lowest price-to-sales ratios.  There are currently 338 stocks with forward P/S ratios that are less than one, meaning their market caps are lower than annual sales estimates.  When sales are greater than market cap, companies typically have very low (and usually declining) margins.  Many of the names below with P/S ratios of 0.20 or lower come from slow and steady groups like wholesale food distributors, big box retail, or large health care insurance providers.

Whereas the 31 stocks with 10+ P/S ratios are up 43% over the last year, the group of stocks below are only up an average of 6% YoY.  While many of these names are and will continue to be on a downward trajectory in the coming years, we’re confident that a few will end up turning around their margin situations, especially if we see a disinflationary environment.  Now go dig deeper and find them!

The Year of the Utes?

The Utilities sector has been the second best of the eleven S&P 500 sectors so far in 2024, and it’s the best performing sector so far in May.

The sector has been on fire.

Below is a look at eight charts from our daily Sector Snapshot that gets sent to Bespoke Premium and Bespoke Institutional clients daily.

Pretty much all readings are now very extended to the upside, including P/E ratio!

Below is a look at the individual stocks in the S&P 500 Utilities sector from our Trend Analyzer tool (also available to Bespoke Premium and Bespoke Institutional clients).  As shown, every single stock is overbought, with the large majority in “extreme” overbought territory.

With AI and other new technologies demanding so much more electricity, have investors woken up to the fact that the companies providing it stand to benefit?

Bespoke’s Consumer Pulse Report — May 2024

Bespoke’s Consumer Pulse Report is an analysis of a huge consumer survey that we run each month.  Our goal with this survey is to track trends across the economic and financial landscape in the US.  Using the results from our proprietary monthly survey, we dissect and analyze all of the data and publish the Consumer Pulse Report, which we sell access to on a subscription basis.  Sign up for a 30-day free trial to our Bespoke Consumer Pulse subscription service.  With a trial, you’ll get coverage of consumer electronics, social media, streaming media, retail, autos, and much more.  The report also has numerous proprietary US economic data points that are extremely timely and useful for investors.

We’ve just released our most recent monthly report to Pulse subscribers, and it’s definitely worth the read if you’re curious about the health of the consumer in the current market environment.  Start a 30-day free trial for a full breakdown of all of our proprietary Pulse economic indicators.