The Bespoke 50 Growth Stocks — 9/26/24
The “Bespoke 50” is a basket of noteworthy growth stocks in the Russell 3,000. To make the list, a stock must have strong earnings growth prospects along with an attractive price chart based on Bespoke’s analysis. There were 8 changes to the list this week.
The Bespoke 50 is available with a Bespoke Premium subscription or a Bespoke Institutional subscription. With Bespoke Premium, you’ll receive a number of daily market updates from us along with our weekly newsletter and a portion of our investor tools. With Bespoke Institutional, you’ll receive everything that’s included with Premium plus additional daily macro analysis and more stock-specific research.
To see all 50 stocks that currently make up the Bespoke 50, simply start a two-week trial to Bespoke Premium or Bespoke Institutional.
The Bespoke 50 performance chart shown does not represent actual investment results. The Bespoke 50 is updated monthly on Thursdays unless otherwise noted. Performance is based on equally weighting each of the 50 stocks (2% each) and is calculated using each stock’s opening price as of Friday morning after publication. Entry prices and exit prices used for stocks that are added or removed from the Bespoke 50 are based on Friday’s opening price. Any potential commissions, brokerage fees, or dividends are not included in the Bespoke 50 performance calculation, but the performance shown is net of a hypothetical annual advisory fee of 0.85%. Performance tracking for the Bespoke 50 and the Russell 3,000 total return index begins on March 5th, 2012 when the Bespoke 50 was first published. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. The Bespoke 50 is meant to be an idea generator for investors and not a recommendation to buy or sell any specific securities. It is not personalized advice because it in no way takes into account an investor’s individual needs. As always, investors should conduct their own research when buying or selling individual securities. Click here to read our full disclosure on hypothetical performance tracking. Bespoke representatives or wealth management clients may have positions in securities discussed or mentioned in its published content.
The Fed’s Quarterly Review of Household Wealth
The conventional wisdom in investing suggests that individuals should reduce their exposure to equities as they age. This strategy is based on the principle that younger investors have a longer time horizon and can afford to take on more risk, while older investors, nearing or in retirement, should focus on preserving capital and minimizing risk. However, the chart below depicting equity and mutual fund shares as a percentage of financial assets by age group reveals a notable deviation from this traditional approach. Surprisingly, it is the oldest cohort of investors—those aged 70 and above—that maintain the highest levels of equity and mutual fund exposure, with the trend intensifying over time. This data comes from the most recent quarterly Distributional Financial Accounts report from the Fed analyzing household wealth.
The discrepancy in equity market exposure for older and younger age groups can largely be attributed to the dramatic rise in the stock market over the past few decades, which has significantly boosted the wealth of older investors. However, it also underscores a broader trend: younger generations are notably underrepresented in equity markets. This is likely due to a combination of lower net worth, less savings, and perhaps even a more cautious approach to investing. Nevertheless, younger investors, with their longer investment horizon, should ideally have a higher proportion of their financial assets in equities to capitalize on potential long-term growth. We would note, though, that the <40 age group now has a slightly higher share of equity market exposure than the 40-54 age band, and the reading for sub-40 investors has skyrocketed since COVID while the 40-54 age group has merely trended sideways over the last ten years.
In a similar vein, you might expect older investors to have more cash in the form of deposits and money market funds than younger age groups, but it’s the sub-40 group that currently has the highest percentage of cash at 20.2% of financial assets. Back in the 90s, older investors carried much higher cash levels than younger investors, but that trend reversed in the years following the Financial Crisis. The sub-40 group has held the highest cash levels of any age cohort for 12+ years now. All things equal, we view it as bullish for the long-term health of the market that younger investors currently have lower equity exposure than most of their peer age groups and higher cash levels. It suggests there’s plenty of money out there ready to “Get Invested!” at some point.
The charts above were featured in our Closer report sent to Bespoke Institutional subscribers on 9/23. In addition to these two charts, we featured many more from the Fed’s latest quarterly report on household wealth that were quite interesting. If you’d like to read the rest of The Closer from 9/23 and gain access to everything else Bespoke publishes for investors on a daily basis, sign up for a Bespoke Institutional trial today.
Chart of the Day: Utilities Stocks Leading Now Lengthy Bull
This content is for members onlyBest and Worst Performers Since 8/5
The large-cap S&P 500 and Russell 1,000 are both now up more than 10% since the summer low made on August 5th. They’re also trading back to new all-time highs today.
Within the Russell 1,000, the average stock in the index is up 10% as well, meaning breadth has been strong. This is different from what we saw in the first half of the year when the mega-caps pretty much drove all of the market’s gains.
We’ve seen some pretty massive moves higher in individual stocks since August 5th. There are 137 stocks in the Russell 1,000 up more than 20% since then (just 32 trading days), and there are 21 stocks up more than 40%. Below is a list of those 40%+ gainers.
As shown, buy-now-pay-later stock Affirm (AFRM) is up the most since 8/5 with a gain of nearly 88%. App-maker AppLovin (APP) is up the second-most at +83.8%.
Language-learning app Duolingo (DUOL), online real estate search site Zillow (ZG), and fast-casual Mediterranean menu company Cava (CAVA) round out the top five with gains of more than 56%.
Other notables on the list of big winners recently include Palantir (PLTR) with a gain of 53%, Five Below (FIVE) at +45.4%, SharkNinja (SN) at 44.9%, and RH at 41.1%.
While more than 87% of stocks in the Russell 1,000 are up since 8/5, there are 123 stocks that are in the red, including the 26 listed below that are down more than 10%.
Trump Media (DJT) is the Russell 1,000 stock down the most since 8/5 with a drop of 44.7%. Wolfspeed (WOLF), elf Beauty (ELF), New Fortress (NFE), and Dollar General (DG) round out the list of the five biggest losers, and other notable names on the list include Dollar Tree (DLTR), Sirius (SIRI), Celsius (CELH), Moderna (MRNA), Walgreens Boots (WBA), Ally Financial (ALLY), and Birkenstock (BIRK).
Below is a look at the average performance of Russell 1,000 stocks since 8/5 broken out by sector. Four sectors have seen average gains in a tight range between 12.3-12.8%: Real Estate, Technology, Financials, and Consumer Discretionary. On the weaker side, the average Energy stock is up just 3.1% since 8/5.
Below is a look at the average year-over-year percentage change of Russell 1,000 stocks by sector. Over the last year (since 9/19/23), the average Russell 1,000 stock is up 23.8%, but stocks in the Financials sector have done by far the best with an average gain of 34.5%. Notably, the AI-heavy Technology sector ranks third behind Financials and Industrials. Energy stocks, on the other hand, are only up an average of 1.9% YoY.
