In working on our 2017 annual outlook report, we decided to take a quick look at how the S&P 500 has historically performed in years ending in “7” going back to 1928 when the index was formed.  Unfortunately for market bulls, this is an instance where 7 is not a very lucky number.  As shown below, the S&P has historically averaged a slight decline of 0.97% in years ending in 7, with gains occurring only half of the time.  Years ending in “0” and “1” have also seen the S&P average a decline, and in these years the index has posted gains less than half the time.

So what has been the best year to be invested?  Years ending in a “5” have averaged a mammoth gain of 22.42%, and the index has been up 88.9% of the time in these years (8 out of 9).  Unfortunately we have to wait until 2025 to get the next one!

Want to see Bespoke’s 2017 annual outlook report?  Click here to gain access with a 30-day free Bespoke research trial.


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