It has no doubt been a rough week for the Presidential prospects of Donald Trump, but in politics, three months is a lifetime, and Trump has made some miraculous recoveries before in his career. That being said, the odds for Clinton to win in November have really rallied in the last several days and are back near their highs of the year at slightly more than 75%. In each of the prior times where Clinton’s odds (late April and late June) have approached current levels, they have quickly pulled back. It is often noted that a strong stock market and a good economy are good for the incumbent party, so with the S&P 500 at new highs and jobs data coming in strong for the second straight month, will this be the leg where Clinton finally breaks out or are her odds due for another pullback? We’ll soon find out!
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